Amazonas 2-1 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.69
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
1.43/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.12
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
25.9 Crosses 14.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Avai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 1.96
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
233 Passes 379
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-1 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
2-1
AWAY Avai
1.29 xG 0.18
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
458 Passes 231
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas nicked a narrow win over Avai 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Amazonas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amazonas had 63% of the ball to Avai's 37%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.29 to 0.18.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Avai?

Amazonas 2-1 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 46%, draw 29%, Avai 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amazonas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amazonas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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