Ituano vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ituano v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Ituano vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Ituano
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Ceara
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Ceara
BRK
Ituano 1-2 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara squeezed past Ituano 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ituano had 42% of the ball to Ceara's 58%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 0.95 to 1.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ituano and 1.50 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Ituano vs Ceara?
Ituano 1-2 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ituano vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ituano 29%, draw 29%, Ceara 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.