Brusque 1-2 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.85
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
14%
7.66
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusque EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.29/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.24
-21% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.9 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brusque
1W-3D-1L
AWAY CRB
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
302 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2024 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
26.10.2022 Brusque Brusque 0-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
16.07.2022 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
15.11.2021 Brusque Brusque 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
13.08.2021 CRB CRB 3-0 HT 3-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brusque
1-2
AWAY CRB
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
124 Passes 346
56% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Brusque vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB squeezed past Brusque 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day CRB made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brusque had 33% of the ball to CRB's 67%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Brusque and 1.00 for CRB.

What was the final score of Brusque vs CRB?

Brusque 1-2 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusque vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brusque win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brusque 39%, draw 34%, CRB 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brusque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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