Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+12.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
47%
Away Win
62%
-15.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 66%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.83/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.76
-9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
11.0 Crosses 16.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.45 xG 1.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
241 Passes 492
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 HT 3-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
07.04.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
27.01.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
08.10.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
29.07.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.04.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
2-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and Dinamo Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 36% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 64%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Istra 1961 and 2.67 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 28%, draw 25%, Dinamo Zagreb 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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