Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Cruzeiro 1-0 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro edged past Fortaleza 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 55% of the ball to Fortaleza's 45%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.67 to 0.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.83 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza?
Cruzeiro 1-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 58%, draw 23%, Fortaleza 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.