Flamengo vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Palmeiras
BR1
Flamengo 3-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo nicked a narrow win over Palmeiras 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Flamengo had 48% of the ball to Palmeiras's 52%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 1.74 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Flamengo and 0.33 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
Flamengo 3-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 48%, draw 29%, Palmeiras 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.