Toulouse vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toulouse v Metz — Team-Based Signals
Toulouse vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toulouse 4-0 Metz — Actual Match Statistics
Toulouse swept aside Metz 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Toulouse had 36% of the ball to Metz's 64%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 2.54 to 0.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Toulouse and 0.67 for Metz.
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Metz?
Toulouse 4-0 Metz in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Metz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 58%, draw 21%, Metz 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.