Rennes 2-2 Auxerre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.97
Over
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No Pick
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.56
2-3
45%
1.8
4-5
16%
3.21
6+
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.56 — our 29% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.43
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.53
X/2
6%
8.45
X/X
11%
5.1
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
13%
6.36
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.6pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre The Market 27%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.45/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.55
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.8 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Auxerre
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.24
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
491 Passes 292
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
03.11.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 4-0 HT 2-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
11.03.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 0-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
11.09.2022 Rennes Rennes 5-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
12.02.2014 Auxerre Auxerre 0-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FRK
11.03.2012 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
2-2
AWAY Auxerre
2.03 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
338 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Auxerre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes and Auxerre shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rennes at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rennes had 52% of the ball to Auxerre's 48%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.03 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rennes and 1.00 for Auxerre.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Auxerre?

Rennes 2-2 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Auxerre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rennes 52%, draw 23%, Auxerre 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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