Nantes 0-2 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 Oct 2025

Nantes
0-2 HT 0-1
Lille
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.64
Away Pick
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.91
Over
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.36
2-3
42%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.35
6+
10%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.36 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.18
1/2
9%
23.1
1/X
6%
16.2
X/1
8%
10.1
X/2
22%
4.2
X/X
10%
5.19
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.12
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lille win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
53%
Away Win
56%
-2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille The Market 60%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -23%
1.40/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.13
+3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +3%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
17.8 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lille
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.83
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
208 Passes 548
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
04.01.2025 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
12.05.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-2 HT 0-2 Lille Lille FR1
20.08.2023 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
27.05.2023 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
12.08.2022 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
0-2
AWAY Lille
0.59 xG 2.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
220 Passes 460
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 48
21 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille beat Nantes 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nantes had 37% of the ball to Lille's 63%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.59 to 2.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nantes and 1.33 for Lille.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Lille?

Nantes 0-2 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nantes 24%, draw 23%, Lille 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✗ BTTS Yes
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