Ujpest 1-1 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away Pick
55%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.15
Over
51%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.59
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros The Market 56%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.52/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.99
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
24.0 Crosses 21.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.34 xG 1.98
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
231 Passes 417
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
02.04.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-1 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MACK
01.12.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
17.08.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
19.05.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
25.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-5 HT 0-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-1
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.95 xG 0.51
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
257 Passes 395
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Ujpest vs Ferencvaros
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ujpest and Ferencvaros couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ferencvaros at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 53%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.59, roughly 63%.

On the day, Ferencvaros saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.95 to 0.51.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.17 a game for Ujpest against 2.17 for Ferencvaros.

Ujpest vs Ferencvaros Result & Final Score

Ujpest 1-1 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ujpest vs Ferencvaros Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 22%, draw 23%, Ferencvaros 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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