Piast Gliwice 1-2 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Oct 2025

Piast Gliwice
1-2 HT 0-1
Lechia Gdansk
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Piast Gliwice vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 26% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.3
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.28
X/2
13%
6.31
X/X
14%
4.72
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.35
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Piast Gliwice v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.28/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.75
-20% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.9 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Piast Gliwice vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
340 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.04.2025 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3-1 HT 2-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
25.10.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-3 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
27.05.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-0 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
13.11.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-3 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
12.03.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
18.09.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL

Piast Gliwice 1-2 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-2
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.31 xG 1.06
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
448 Passes 237
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk edged past Piast Gliwice 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Piast Gliwice at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 62% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 38%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.31 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.33 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Lechia Gdansk?

Piast Gliwice 1-2 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 43%, draw 26%, Lechia Gdansk 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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