Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lech Poznan v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Lech Poznan
POL
2-2
HT 1-1
Pogon Szczecin
POL
Lech Poznan 2-2 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan and Pogon Szczecin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Lech Poznan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Lech Poznan had 66% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 34%, shots finished 26-16, expected goals 2.61 to 1.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.33 for Pogon Szczecin.
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin?
Lech Poznan 2-2 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 49%, draw 27%, Pogon Szczecin 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lech Poznan) went the other way.