Asteras Tripolis 2-2 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.77
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.23
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
16%
5.06
X/2
11%
6.6
X/X
12%
4.21
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.87
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.09/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.29
-12% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
21.8 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Kifisia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.32 xG 1.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
283 Passes 259
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2025 Kifisia Kifisia 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
06.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 1-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
28.02.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-3 HT 3-2 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
26.11.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 1-3 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2-2
AWAY Kifisia
0.54 xG 1.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
228 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis and Kifisia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 48% of the ball to Kifisia's 52%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.54 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.75 for Kifisia.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia?

Asteras Tripolis 2-2 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 45%, draw 26%, Kifisia 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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