AEK Atina 0-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.20/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.29
-29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.6 Crosses 12.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PAOK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
334 Passes 199
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
30.03.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-3 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
02.02.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
09.01.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
18.12.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
20.10.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
0-2
AWAY PAOK
1.38 xG 1.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
259 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK saw off AEK Atina 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; PAOK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AEK Atina had 43% of the ball to PAOK's 57%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AEK Atina and 1.17 for PAOK.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs PAOK?

AEK Atina 0-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 40%, draw 31%, PAOK 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
19 Oct 2025
16:00 Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia Analysis →
17:30 Volos NFC vs Panserraikos Analysis →
19:30 Aris Saloniki vs Panathinaikos Analysis →