Sporting Charleroi 2-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.82
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.19
1/2
10%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
16%
5.93
X/2
11%
5.51
X/X
13%
4.25
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
15%
3.73
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.57/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.42
-2% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
18.6 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Genk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 441
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2025 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
28.02.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
23.11.2024 Genk Genk 3-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
23.02.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
20.08.2023 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
23.04.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-2 HT 1-2 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2-2
AWAY Genk
0.92 xG 0.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
358 Passes 432
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi and Genk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 47% of the ball to Genk's 53%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.92 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.17 for Genk.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Genk?

Sporting Charleroi 2-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 37%, draw 27%, Genk 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →