FC Eindhoven 3-2 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.83
X/2
13%
6.16
X/X
7%
5.67
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
13%
3.73
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.38/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.26
-1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
19.5 Crosses 11.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 0.98
38% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 495
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
02.05.2025 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-4 HT 1-2 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
04.10.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
01.03.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
15.09.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
17.03.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
3-2
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
2.17 xG 0.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
262 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ FC Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Eindhoven edged past AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19 Dec 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 42% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 58%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.17 to 0.49.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.33 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar II?

FC Eindhoven 3-2 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 45%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar II 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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