VVV-Venlo 3-1 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Dec 2025

VVV-Venlo
3-1 HT 3-0
Dordrecht
📅19/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.33
Over 2.5
63%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
13%
6.96
X/X
6%
5.7
2/1
7%
22.25
2/2
15%
4.32
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.4pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
39%
-2.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
61%
+2.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VVV-Venlo v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.44/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.57
-46% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
24.1 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
240 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
14.03.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
18.10.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
16.02.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
08.12.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-1 HT 1-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
17.02.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-2 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2

VVV-Venlo 3-1 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
3-1
AWAY Dordrecht
2.14 xG 1.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
263 Passes 301
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo saw off Dordrecht 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (42% / 20% / 38%) promised a tight game; VVV-Venlo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 48% of the ball to Dordrecht's 52%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 2.14 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for VVV-Venlo and 2.00 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht?

VVV-Venlo 3-1 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 42%, draw 20%, Dordrecht 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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