Cambuur 4-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.28
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.76
No
39%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.12
2-3 Goals
37%
2.09
4-5 Goals
27%
2.45
6+ Goals
17%
5.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.44
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
22.25
X/1
18%
3.98
X/2
5%
20.5
X/X
5%
9.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
18%
19.7
2/2
7%
16.15
2/X
5%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 18% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
74%
-2.4pp
14%
Draw
16%
-1.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.9pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.96/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.98
+5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.7 Crosses 13.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
5W-1D-0L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.83 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
386 Passes 333
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
09.05.2025 Cambuur Cambuur 1-0 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
09.08.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
12.01.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 5-2 HT 3-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
02.11.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 4-1 HT 4-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOK
20.10.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
4-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.57 xG 0.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
507 Passes 288
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 12
FAQ Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cambuur ran out comfortable winners over MVV Maastricht 4-0 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19 Dec 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 64% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.

On the day, Cambuur had 62% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 38%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.57 to 0.40.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cambuur and 0.67 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht?

Cambuur 4-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 71%, draw 14%, MVV Maastricht 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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