MVV Maastricht vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities
MVV Maastricht v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
MVV Maastricht 0-1 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics
Cambuur came out on the right side of a one-goal game with MVV Maastricht 1-0 on the road.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, MVV Maastricht had 38% of the ball to Cambuur's 62%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.70 to 1.28 — by the quality of chances, MVV Maastricht deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for MVV Maastricht and 2.33 for Cambuur.
MVV Maastricht vs Cambuur Result & Final Score
MVV Maastricht 0 - 1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
MVV Maastricht vs Cambuur Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 18%, draw 20%, Cambuur 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.