Utrecht II 2-0 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Sep 2025

Utrecht II
2-0 HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Utrecht II vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.38
Over 2.5
63%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.68
2-3 Goals
33%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.61
6+ Goals
19%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.45
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
14%
7.52
X/2
17%
4.95
X/X
10%
5.86
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
21%
2.57
2/X
9%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.45 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.9pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht II v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 51%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.25/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.30
-25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
14.6 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Utrecht II vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
28.01.2019 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-2 HT 0-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
26.10.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-2 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
09.02.2018 Utrecht II Utrecht II 5-2 HT 4-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
22.09.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-2 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
06.02.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
22.08.2016 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-3 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2

Utrecht II 2-0 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
2-0
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.81 xG 0.36
35% Ball Possession 65%
23 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
238 Passes 510
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht II beat RKC Waalwijk 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was RKC Waalwijk at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht II had 35% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 65%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.81 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Utrecht II and 2.17 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs RKC Waalwijk?

Utrecht II 2-0 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 30%, draw 23%, RKC Waalwijk 47%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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