Den Bosch 3-3 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
8%
7.2
X/2
10%
4.95
X/X
11%
5.44
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
26%
2.71
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.5 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.34/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.03
-15% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +62%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
19.4 Crosses 20.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.20 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
256 Passes 309
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 3-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.12.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-3 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
29.03.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-3 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
27.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 5-1 HT 3-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.03.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
09.09.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
3-3
AWAY Dordrecht
1.82 xG 0.74
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
382 Passes 121
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
42 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and Dordrecht couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Den Bosch had 70% of the ball to Dordrecht's 30%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.82 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Den Bosch and 3.00 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?

Den Bosch 3-3 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 32%, draw 22%, Dordrecht 46%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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