De Graafschap vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v Willem II — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
3-2
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-3
HT 0-1
Willem II
HOL2
3-2
HT 2-1
De Graafschap
HOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL
De Graafschap 1-1 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap and Willem II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, De Graafschap had 62% of the ball to Willem II's 38%, shots finished 29-11, expected goals 1.61 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for De Graafschap and 2.67 for Willem II.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Willem II?
De Graafschap 1-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Willem II?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 45%, draw 23%, Willem II 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5 went the other way.