Roda vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roda v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Ajax II
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-2
Roda
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Ajax II
HOL2
Roda 3-3 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
Roda and Ajax II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Roda at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Roda had 41% of the ball to Ajax II's 59%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 2.60 to 1.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 1.17 for Ajax II.
What was the final score of Roda vs Ajax II?
Roda 3-3 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roda vs Ajax II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Roda 50%, draw 26%, Ajax II 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda) went the other way.