Almere City 2-4 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Sep 2025

Almere City
2-4 HT 2-0
PSV II
📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Almere City vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
15%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.89
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.95
X/1
16%
4.22
X/2
12%
10.75
X/X
8%
6.97
2/1
8%
18.45
2/2
12%
7.67
2/X
6%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.4pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+11.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almere City v PSV II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.81/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.80
-21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.0 Crosses 11.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Almere City vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSV II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.34 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
365 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
41 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.11.2022 PSV II PSV II 0-1 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
10.01.2022 PSV II PSV II 5-1 HT 3-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
22.10.2021 Almere City Almere City 3-5 HT 2-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.05.2021 Almere City Almere City 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
21.12.2020 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2

Almere City 2-4 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
2-4
AWAY PSV II
1.64 xG 1.35
35% Ball Possession 65%
25 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 7
182 Passes 430
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almere City vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II got the better of Almere City 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Almere City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Almere City had 35% of the ball to PSV II's 65%, shots finished 25-18, expected goals 1.64 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almere City and 2.33 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Almere City vs PSV II?

Almere City 2-4 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Almere City 51%, draw 18%, PSV II 30%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almere City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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