Foggia Calcio vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Foggia Calcio v Avellino — Team-Based Signals
Foggia Calcio vs Avellino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Foggia Calcio
İTCK
0-0
HT 0-0
Foggia Calcio
İTC
3-2
HT 2-0
Foggia Calcio
İTC
1-1
HT 1-1
Avellino
İTC
1-2
HT 1-0
Foggia Calcio
İTC
2-0
HT 1-0
Avellino
İTC
Foggia Calcio 1-3 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino beat Foggia Calcio 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Foggia Calcio had 54% of the ball to Avellino's 46%, shots finished 8-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Foggia Calcio and 1.33 for Avellino.
What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Avellino?
Foggia Calcio 1-3 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Avellino?
Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 28%, draw 29%, Avellino 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.