Llanidloes Town 1-4 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.3pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.6pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.3pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanidloes Town EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 62%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+57% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Llanidloes Town vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town swept aside Llanidloes Town 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Llanidloes Town vs Denbigh Town?

Llanidloes Town 1-4 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanidloes Town vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Llanidloes Town 28%, draw 18%, Denbigh Town 54%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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