Motagua 3-0 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-8.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
2.40/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.48
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.10.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-4 Motagua Motagua HON
11.08.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-1 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
26.04.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
29.02.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
13.11.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
17.09.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua ran out comfortable winners over CD Real Sociedad 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Motagua and 1.00 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad?

Motagua 3-0 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Motagua 59%, draw 22%, CD Real Sociedad 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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20 Jan 2025
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