Swansea City 3-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.48
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
14%
4.21
X/2
12%
8.6
X/X
12%
4.37
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
8%
7.36
2/X
10%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +21%
1.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.32
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.0 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.08 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
356 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2025 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
22.02.2025 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
19.10.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
02.03.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
28.10.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
18.02.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
3-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.87 xG 1.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
356 Passes 312
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City saw off Blackburn Rovers 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swansea City had 51% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 49%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.87 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Swansea City and 0.67 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Swansea City 3-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 46%, draw 29%, Blackburn Rovers 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
20 Jan 2026
22:45 Charlton Athletic vs Derby County Analysis →
22:45 Preston North End vs Hull City Analysis →
22:45 Oxford United vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
22:45 West Bromwich vs Norwich City Analysis →
22:45 Sheffield Wednesday vs Birmingham Analysis →
22:45 Ipswich Town vs Bristol City Analysis →