Stamford 3-2 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+7.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.39/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.01
-3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stamford
2W-2D-1L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
09.12.2025 Stamford Stamford 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
25.01.2025 Stamford Stamford 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
14.09.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 3-0 HT 0-0 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
10.02.2024 Stamford Stamford 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
30.09.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-2 HT 1-1 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stamford
3-2
AWAY AFC Sudbury
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stamford vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stamford nicked a narrow win over AFC Sudbury 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stamford as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stamford had 56% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 44%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stamford had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stamford and 1.20 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Stamford vs AFC Sudbury?

Stamford 3-2 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stamford 45%, draw 25%, AFC Sudbury 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stamford) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stamford) ✗ Under 2.5
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