South Shields 2-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.09.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 3-1 HT 2-1 South Shields South Shields İCON
15.10.2022 South Shields South Shields 1-0 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
2-1
AWAY Scunthorpe United
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields nicked a narrow win over Scunthorpe United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, South Shields had 52% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 48%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for South Shields and 1.50 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Scunthorpe United?

South Shields 2-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split South Shields 24%, draw 29%, Scunthorpe United 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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