Spennymoor Town 2-0 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.30/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.08
-10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
242 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Warrington Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.09.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
2-0
AWAY Warrington Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town saw off Warrington Town 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Spennymoor Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 49% of the ball to Warrington Town's 51%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Warrington Town?

Spennymoor Town 2-0 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 32%, draw 32%, Warrington Town 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Warrington Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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