Cherno More Varna 0-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
11%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
11%
Away Win
15%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.60/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.69
-6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
456 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
07.12.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-3 HT 2-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
12.08.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
01.03.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
01.09.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
0-0
AWAY Botev Vratsa
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna and Botev Vratsa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Cherno More Varna carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 60% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 40%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.00 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?

Cherno More Varna 0-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 62%, draw 27%, Botev Vratsa 11%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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