Mozambik vs Uganda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mozambik v Uganda — Team-Based Signals
Mozambik 3-1 Uganda — Actual Match Statistics
Mozambik got the better of Uganda 3-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mozambik as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mozambik had 54% of the ball to Uganda's 46%, shots finished 11-9.
What was the final score of Mozambik vs Uganda?
Mozambik 3-1 Uganda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mozambik vs Uganda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mozambik win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mozambik 43%, draw 26%, Uganda 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mozambik) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.