Japonya 2-0 Bahreyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒13:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.16
Draw
33%
6.26
Away
33%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
82%
-48.2pp
33%
Draw
13%
+20.4pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 8%
-17% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.93/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.08/0.89
+14% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.0
29.1 Crosses 6.0
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Bahreyn
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
2.73 xG 0.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
484 Passes 237
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Bahreyn Bahreyn 0-5 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya DKE
31.01.2024 Bahreyn Bahreyn 1-3 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya ASK
03.03.2010 Japonya Japonya 2-0 HT 1-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
28.03.2009 Japonya Japonya 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn DKE
06.09.2008 Bahreyn Bahreyn 2-3 HT 0-2 Japonya Japonya DKE
POST-MATCH Japonya vs Bahreyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya beat Bahreyn 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Japonya found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Japonya had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Japonya and 0.60 for Bahreyn.

What was the final score of Japonya vs Bahreyn?

Japonya 2-0 Bahreyn in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya vs Bahreyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Japonya 33%, draw 33%, Bahreyn 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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