Bahreyn 0-5 Japonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2024

Bahreyn
0-5 HT 0-1
Japonya
📅10/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Bahreyn vs Japonya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.0pp
59%
Away Win
71%
-11.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahreyn v Japonya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya EU Bookmakers 75%
+80% / +80% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.12/0.04
+122% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
– Crosses 23.1
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Bahreyn vs Japonya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahreyn
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Japonya
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.22 xG 1.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
346 Passes 417
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.01.2024 Bahreyn Bahreyn 1-3 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya ASK
03.03.2010 Japonya Japonya 2-0 HT 1-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
28.03.2009 Japonya Japonya 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn DKE
06.09.2008 Bahreyn Bahreyn 2-3 HT 0-2 Japonya Japonya DKE

Bahreyn 0-5 Japonya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahreyn
0-5
AWAY Japonya
0.12 xG 3.46
24% Ball Possession 76%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
128 Passes 551
68% Pass Accuracy 91%
6 Box Touches 29
5 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bahreyn vs Japonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya cruised past Bahreyn 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Japonya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bahreyn had 24% of the ball to Japonya's 76%, shots finished 3-14, expected goals 0.12 to 3.46.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Japonya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Bahreyn and 2.25 for Japonya.

What was the final score of Bahreyn vs Japonya?

Bahreyn 0-5 Japonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahreyn vs Japonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bahreyn 17%, draw 23%, Japonya 59%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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