İran 2-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 20 Mar 2025

İran
2-0 HT 1-0
Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
📅20/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

İran vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.82
Over 2.5
37%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.47
6+ Goals
7%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 35% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
51%
+11.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
49%
-11.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İran v Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İran EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 17%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.62/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.00
+9% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / +45%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.6 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

İran vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İran
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.70 xG 0.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
297 Passes 411
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.09.2024 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-1 HT 0-1 İran İran DKE
23.01.2024 İran İran 2-1 HT 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
01.02.2022 İran İran 1-0 HT 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE
07.10.2021 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE
19.01.2015 İran İran 1-0 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
19.01.2011 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-3 HT 0-0 İran İran ASK

İran 2-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İran
2-0
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1.51 xG 0.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
424 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İran vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran beat Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İran as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, İran had 56% of the ball to Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri's 44%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.51 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İran had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İran and 0.17 for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri.

What was the final score of İran vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

İran 2-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İran vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Before kick-off our model rated a İran win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split İran 54%, draw 26%, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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