Güney Kore 1-1 Umman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.72
6+ Goals
10%
7.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 25% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
76%
-16.2pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.9pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Umman EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.73/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.93
-22% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +89%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
24.0 Crosses 16.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Kore
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Umman
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.10 xG 0.32
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
533 Passes 226
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
10.09.2024 Umman Umman 1-3 HT 1-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore DKE
10.01.2015 Güney Kore Güney Kore 1-0 HT 1-0 Umman Umman ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kore
1-1
AWAY Umman
0.77 xG 0.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
587 Passes 286
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 5
18 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Güney Kore vs Umman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore and Umman couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Güney Kore carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Güney Kore had 63% of the ball to Umman's 37%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.77 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Güney Kore had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Güney Kore and 0.50 for Umman.

What was the final score of Güney Kore vs Umman?

Güney Kore 1-1 Umman in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kore vs Umman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Güney Kore 60%, draw 23%, Umman 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Güney Kore), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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