Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+9.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
0-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol squeezed past Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 32% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 68%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - League Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 26%, draw 23%, Kashiwa Reysol 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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