Ryukyu 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
59%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.75
No
53%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Avispa Fukuoka win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+12.2pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.5pp
59%
Away Win
79%
-19.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+15.0pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
11.11.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-1 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
28.06.2020 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-1 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
05.10.2019 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
0-2
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka beat Ryukyu 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avispa Fukuoka as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 46% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 54%, shots finished 7-20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ryukyu and 1.33 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Ryukyu 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - League Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 17%, draw 23%, Avispa Fukuoka 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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