Vanraure Hachinohe 1-1 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
52%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.78
Over 2.5
61%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+7.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
52%
Away Win
56%
-3.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
52%
-13.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
48%
+13.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.5pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanraure Hachinohe EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanraure Hachinohe
1-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vanraure Hachinohe vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanraure Hachinohe and Albirex Niigata couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Albirex Niigata at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Vanraure Hachinohe had 42% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 58%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Vanraure Hachinohe vs Albirex Niigata?

Vanraure Hachinohe 1-1 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - League Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanraure Hachinohe vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vanraure Hachinohe 27%, draw 20%, Albirex Niigata 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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