Kamatamare Sanuki 1-5 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Cerezo Osaka win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-9.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 69%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki
1-5
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 27
3 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Kamatamare Sanuki vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka cruised past Kamatamare Sanuki 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kamatamare Sanuki had 32% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 68%, shots finished 4-27.

What was the final score of Kamatamare Sanuki vs Cerezo Osaka?

Kamatamare Sanuki 1-5 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - League Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kamatamare Sanuki 25%, draw 21%, Cerezo Osaka 54%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JLK More Japan - League Cup
20 Mar 2025
07:00 Vanraure Hachinohe vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
08:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →
08:00 Azul Claro Numazu vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
08:00 FC Gifu vs Yokohama FC Analysis →
08:00 Parceiro Nagano vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →
08:00 Ryukyu vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →