Kochi United 1-2 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
12.23
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
58%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.51
No
49%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Gamba Osaka win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
5%
+19.4pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.6pp
58%
Away Win
79%
-21.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
36%
+15.0pp
49%
BTTS No
64%
-15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kochi United EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
180 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kochi United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-2 HT 0-2 Kochi United Kochi United JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kochi United
1-2
AWAY Gamba Osaka
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kochi United vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka squeezed past Kochi United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gamba Osaka as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kochi United had 48% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 52%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Kochi United vs Gamba Osaka?

Kochi United 1-2 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - League Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kochi United vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kochi United 25%, draw 17%, Gamba Osaka 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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