Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-3 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
59%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
60%
Away Win
62%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 66%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-2% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0-3
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus cruised past Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nagoya Grampus as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 40% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 60%, shots finished 17-19.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Nagoya Grampus?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-3 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - League Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 17%, draw 24%, Nagoya Grampus 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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