Santa Fe 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.16/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.17
-15% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
20.5 Crosses 13.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 0.86
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
278 Passes 180
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 HT 2-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK
08.08.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
16.06.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
09.06.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
16.05.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
07.02.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.81 xG 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
384 Passes 209
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe and Atletico Bucaramanga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Santa Fe had 61% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 39%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.81 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Fe and 1.33 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Santa Fe 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 40%, draw 32%, Atletico Bucaramanga 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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