FC Minsk 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.85/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.59
+22% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
10.05.2025 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
09.11.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
22.06.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-2 HT 0-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
14.10.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
26.05.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
1-1
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Minsk at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Minsk had 42% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 58%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Minsk and 0.83 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

FC Minsk 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 46%, draw 23%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Minsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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