Vitebsk 1-1 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
5.28
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
0.88/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.13
-23% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gomel
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2025 Gomel Gomel 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
26.04.2025 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
27.10.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
26.07.2024 Gomel Gomel 1-2 HT 1-2 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
02.06.2024 Gomel Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
30.09.2022 Gomel Gomel 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
1-1
AWAY Gomel
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk and Gomel shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vitebsk had 49% of the ball to Gomel's 51%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vitebsk and 0.67 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Gomel?

Vitebsk 1-1 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 38%, draw 32%, Gomel 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vitebsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✓ Under 2.5
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