Leicester City U21 2-3 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.47/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.93
+9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 18.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.67 xG 2.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
288 Passes 376
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 3-1 HT 3-0 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 INGPL2
15.03.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 2-2 HT 1-2 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City U21
2-3
AWAY Aston Villa U21
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
324 Passes 329
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U21 squeezed past Leicester City U21 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City U21 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Leicester City U21 had 50% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 50%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leicester City U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Leicester City U21 and 1.50 for Aston Villa U21.

What was the final score of Leicester City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Leicester City U21 2-3 Aston Villa U21 in the INGPL2 on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Leicester City U21 54%, draw 20%, Aston Villa U21 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leicester City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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