FCSB 1-0 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
13%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.93/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.79
-2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
21.6 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
5W-0D-1L
AWAY UTA Arad
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.53 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
459 Passes 214
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2026 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-4 HT 1-3 FCSB FCSB ROM
03.12.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROMK
26.10.2025 FCSB FCSB 4-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
26.01.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
01.09.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
22.01.2024 FCSB FCSB 4-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-0
AWAY UTA Arad
1.23 xG 0.92
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
471 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FCSB vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB nicked a narrow win over UTA Arad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FCSB had 65% of the ball to UTA Arad's 35%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.23 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FCSB and 0.83 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of FCSB vs UTA Arad?

FCSB 1-0 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split FCSB 63%, draw 19%, UTA Arad 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
20 Mar 2026
22:45 CFR Cluj vs Rapid Bucarest Analysis →