Queens Park Rangers 1-0 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Apr 2024

Queens Park Rangers
1-0 HT 1-0
Preston North End
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 33% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
11%
4.09
X/2
13%
7.61
X/X
15%
4.22
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
13%
6.28
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.29/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.07
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.9 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Preston North End
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
291 Passes 284
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 0-2 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
07.04.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
17.12.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
09.04.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
02.10.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-2 HT 1-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
24.02.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL

Queens Park Rangers 1-0 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1-0
AWAY Preston North End
1.82 xG 0.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
263 Passes 288
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers squeezed past Preston North End 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Queens Park Rangers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 47% of the ball to Preston North End's 53%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.82 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.00 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

Queens Park Rangers 1-0 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 41%, draw 28%, Preston North End 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queens Park Rangers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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