20/04/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Lucksta vs Taftea Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
26%
Draw
25%
29%
Away Win
34%
43%
Under 2.5
39%
57%
Over 2.5
61%
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
42%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lucksta v Taftea — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lucksta
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Taftea
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-17% /
-17%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-43%
/
+11%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
313 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Lucksta vs Taftea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lucksta beat Taftea 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lucksta as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Lucksta vs Taftea?
Lucksta 3-1 Taftea in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lucksta vs Taftea?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lucksta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lucksta 45%, draw 26%, Taftea 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucksta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Lucksta)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
20 Apr 2024